Strategy’s valuation has fallen below the value of its bitcoin holdings

This does not mean the company cannot issue new shares. However, doing so at current valuation levels would likely invite further criticism, as Strategy’s last few bitcoin purchases have all been dilutive to common stockholders, which has drawn backlash from the community.

The concern is that Strategy is increasingly being valued like a closed-end fund rather than an operating company. Similar vehicles, including the Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (in the years prior to its conversion to an ETF), have historically traded at substantial premiums to their underlying bitcoin holdings during periods of strong demand, only to later trade at persistent discounts as investor sentiment weakened. Closed-end funds often struggle to eliminate these discounts because they lack an effective redemption mechanism that allows arbitrage between the share price and the underlying assets’ value.

Unlike a traditional closed-end trust, though, Strategy has several levers at its disposal, including issuing debt or equity when accretive, redeeming or refinancing securities, generating operating cash flows through its software business, and actively managing its capital structure.

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